The Wire China · China
TIER 4 Sun, 12 Apr 2026 23:15:30 +0000
Plus, a Xinjiang loophole for Big Pharma; and how to defend Taiwan | | --- | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | #### Weekly newsletter | April 12th, 2026 --- | --- | **Good evening.** How does a belligerent power hide its preparations to conquer a neighbor, as Russia tried to do before moving against Ukraine in February 2022 and as China one might day attempt ahead of a blockade or invasion of Taiwan. The answer is it can’t. The necessary logistical and political preparations will be visible to the rest of the world. But as Eyck Freymann writes in an essay adapted from his forthcoming book, _Defending Taiwan_ , that will not make it much easier for the U.S. to deter or defeat a move by Xi Jinping to take the island by force. China would be able to choose from a variety of intermediate “grey zone” steps that would make the timing and nature of its ultimate move hard to predict precisely. And unlike the Chinese Communist Party, which at least initially would be bolstered by a surge of popular nationalism, any sitting U.S. president would have to deal with a free media, opposition politicians and a free-thinking citizenry that might not be willing to spend American blood and treasure in the defense of the continued freedom of a far-away island. And in this week’s Wire China podcast: North America has always been a tough nut to crack for Chinese electric vehicle makers, but now everything’s different as they look to set up shop in Canada. Eliot Chen and Savannah Billman discuss how Canada and the U.S. fell out over EV policies and why security concerns still remain — especially given the close ties between one Chinese EV company and a sanctioned surveillance firm. _Other items in this week’s issue:_ Will you be able to drive from Canada to the U.S. in a Chinese EV? ; The Big Picture on international drug development and clinical trials in Xinjiang; Martin Thorley on the UK and China’s short-lived “golden era”; and Yanmei Xie on Xi Jinping’s ill-conceived “abundance strategy”. If you’re not already a paid subscriber to _The Wire_ , please sign up here. _Was this email forwarded to you?_ Sign up to receive our free newsletter. Click here to view this email in your browser. --- | | | | | | --- | | --- | | --- | | --- | --- | --- Chinese President Xi Jinping is displayed on a screen as Type 99A2 Chinese battle tanks take part in a parade commemorating the 70th anniversary of Japan’s World War Two surrender, Beijing, September 3, 2015. _Credit: Ng Han Guan via AP Images_ | **Preparing for the Worst** In the run-up to the “day that will live in infamy”, Franklin Delano Roosevelt and his advisers knew that a Japanese attack on a U.S. territory was likely sooner rather than later. As Eyck Freymann notes in an essay adapted from his new book, _Defending Taiwan_ , on November 25, 1941 FDR’s Secretary of War, Henry Stimson, wrote in his diary “that we are likely to be attacked perhaps next Monday [December 1]”. America was still taken by surprise at Pearl Harbor on December 7 and struggled mightily to respond with the military, political and financial strategies that would finally help the Allies turn the tide in the Pacific against the Japanese. Those same challenges will confront any future U.S. president unlucky enough to have to decide how to react to a Chinese blockade or invasion of Taiwan. --- | --- | --- Workers assemble electric vehicles at Leapmotor’s factory in Jinhua, Zhejiang. _Credit: Photo by VCG/VCG via AP_ | **Road Closed** One big advantage of owning a car in Canada is the freedom to drive, say, from Banff in the Canadian Rockies across the U.S. border to Glacier National Park in Montana. But what if, The Wire China’s Ottawa-based Eliot Chen asks, that car is a Chinese electric vehicle, thanks to the market opening moves included in Canada’s recent trade agreement with China ? Donald Trump’s ambassador to what the president thinks of as America’s future 51st state (or 52nd after Greenland) has warned that data-hoovering Chinese EVs posed a national security risk and might not be allowed to cross the border. --- | --- | --- Nurses prepare for infusion and injection at a hospital in Cangxian county, Hebei. _Credit: IC Photo via Depositphotos_ | **Cotton No, Cars No, Drugs Yes** Because of the international furore over forced labor practices stemming from China’s repression of its Muslim Uyghur population, multinational companies making textiles, cars and many other products have to make sure their supply chains do not have a stray link or two that leads back to Xinjiang. But as Savannah Billman writes in The Big Picture, there is an interesting exception — the global pharmaceutical industry, which continues to develop and trial new medicines in Xinjiang. --- | --- | --- | --- | | --- ### **A Q &A with Martin Thorley** Martin Thorley is the author of _All that Glistens_ , a book about the tarnishing of Britain’s so-called “golden relationship” with China. It was a policy championed by former UK Prime Minister David Cameron and his Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, before they sank their government with the ill-conceived 2016 referendum on EU membership. “Individuals and governments are often totally unprepared and ill-equipped to understand engagement with an authoritarian state,” Thorley tells Andrew Peaple. “The Chinese party-state is a very different beast from a liberal democracy.” Martin Thorley _Illustration by Lauren Crow_ --- | --- | --- Welders at a factory in Mengcheng, Anhui. _Credit: IC Photo via Depositphotos_ | **Too Much Abundance** Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party’s obsession with controlling the means of production has backfired badly, Yanmei Xie writes. Rather than ensuring “abundance”, Xi’s insistence on micromanaging the world’s second-largest economy has only further delayed the emergence of robust — and desperately needed — consumer demand. --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | Subscribe today for unlimited access. Starting at only $25 a month. --- | Subscribe --- | --- | | | | | | | | --- | | --- | | --- | | --- | --- | --- | Want to change how you receive these emails? You can unsubscribe from this list. The Wire New York, NY --- | © 2026 The Wire --- | This email was sent to stephen.shu.zhang@gmail.com _why did I get this?_ unsubscribe from this list update subscription preferences The Wire China * The Wire * New York, New York 10122 * USA ---